Forecasts for
located in or near

Precipitation Forecast for
Target Date Issue Date


Tercile Probabilities

visit site

Forecast Verification

Precipitation Dominant Tercile Probability Forecast

Dominant Tercile Precipitation Forecasts in September-December season.

Rwanda has a growing season from September to December. This Maproom shows September-December rainfall forecast made in August in the form of dominant tercile probabilities, that is to say the likelihood to be below-, near- or above-normal rainfall.

The Layers button, showing when mousing over the map, will reveal in/active layers on the map. The Skill map is inactive by default and can be activated here, to be overlaid over the forecast map.

Clicking on the map will reveal information about the location clicked, as well as the tercile forecast probabilities at that given location. If the Skill Layer is activated, a 2nd graph will show the comparison of hindcast performance versus actually observed seasonal total rainfall.

Dataset Documentation

Precipitation predictand:Seasonally averaged over September to December, 0.0375˚ spatial resolution, precipitation in Rwanda from Rwanda ENACTS.

CFSv2 rainfall predictor:September-December rainfall over East Africa (initialized in July, spatial domain 15˚N-15˚S, 25˚E to 45˚E) from NOAA

Helpdesks

Contact kalisao@yahoo.com with any technical questions or problems with this Map Room.